Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to raise its benchmark rate by 50 bps in September Posted on 29/07/2022 by cao cao Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to raise its benchmark rate by 50 bps in September Retail Trade, Australia The NBER uses 6 main indicators to determine a recession. (No, they don’t just use real GDP). The major 4 are graphed below. 0/4 are showing negative growth for now. A real recession will be when all four (or most) of these are negative. That movie is coming soon